Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.831735 0.963074 1.105297 1.270358 1.456245 1.658694 1.895439
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.657087 0.843291 1.062680 1.338427 1.673771 2.066278 2.558188
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.530608 0.744324 1.014907 1.378342 1.848846 2.432067 3.203600
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.457545 0.692745 1.009243 1.458456 2.070426 2.864680 3.961173
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.377114 0.613774 0.950940 1.454405 2.172685 3.143925 4.536074
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.311919 0.543439 0.891291 1.435460 2.244865 3.380057 5.061977
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.262338 0.487312 0.842488 1.422368 2.318075 3.616066 5.596419
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.230827 0.454466 0.823605 1.449557 2.448952 3.938852 6.270015
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.202864 0.422597 0.801136 1.466534 2.562422 4.239818 6.926080
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.177956 0.391777 0.775742 1.474368 2.659407 4.518818 7.561932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.160919 0.372800 0.767997 1.509853 2.801888 4.874357 8.331778
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.142992 0.348928 0.748048 1.521004 2.902878 5.167987 9.018180
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.120170 0.311372 0.698553 1.475326 2.905330 5.306473 9.473158
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.110256 0.300151 0.698695 1.521366 3.071785 5.725351 10.405774
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.100158 0.286677 0.692480 1.554250 3.216413 6.115109 11.309968
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095645 0.285669 0.711839 1.638581 3.460735 6.687981 12.547716
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084272 0.265493 0.687525 1.632459 3.534506 6.967129 13.298968
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.073309 0.244080 0.657470 1.610932 3.576099 7.189981 13.961866
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.064268 0.225899 0.632145 1.596252 3.628717 7.433581 14.669870
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058931 0.217109 0.627728 1.626198 3.771661 7.848707 15.699497
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.053539 0.207015 0.618768 1.644913 3.892514 8.228086 16.680435
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.048235 0.196014 0.606026 1.653550 3.992575 8.572490 17.611570
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.044837 0.190426 0.606469 1.692712 4.159016 9.050870 18.808097